Thursday, June 24, 2010

Group F permutations

With all 4 teams very much alive...what is required for each to qualify? (Paraguay v New Zealand and Italy v Slovakia). (P.S. A coin toss = drawing of lots = same thing)

Paraguay: A win or a draw is required to guarantee qualification. A win and they will finish first, a draw and they will finish first (unless Italy can overtake them on goal difference - this will require either a 2 or 3 goal win), a loss and they will finish 2nd if Italy v Slovakia is a draw or if Slovakia win and fail to achieve a better goal difference than them (will require a 4 or 5 goal swing). Obviously If Paraguay lose and Italy win they are eliminated.

Italy: A win will guarantee qualification. A win and a Paraguay win and they will finish 2nd. A win and a Paraguay draw and 1st and 2nd will come down to goal difference (indeed if Paraguay draw 1-1 and Italy win 2-0, 1st and 2nd will come down to a coin toss). A win and a New Zealand win will mean 1st and 2nd come down to who got the best win. A draw will achieve qualification if New Zealand lose. A draw and a New Zealand win will mean they are eliminated. A draw and a New Zealand draw - they will qualify in 2nd place if their draw is a higher score draw than New Zealand and they will be eliminated if it is a lower score draw. If the scoreline in both draws are the same then they will have a coin toss with New Zealand to see who qualifies in 2nd and who misses out.

New Zealand. A win will guarantee qualification. A win and an Italian win will mean they qualify in 1st if they get a better win and 2nd if they get a worse win. If the win is the same scoreline then 1st and 2nd will be decided on a coin toss. A win and an Italian draw or loss and New Zealand will finish first. If New Zealand draw they will be eliminated if Italy or Slovakia win. A draw and an Italian draw - they will qualify in 2nd place if their draw is a higher score draw than Italy and they will be eliminated if it is a lower score draw. If the scoreline in both draws are the same then they will have a coin toss with Italy to see who qualifies in 2nd and who misses out.

Slovakia. A loss or a draw and they are eliminated, a win and a Paraguay win or draw and they will qualify in 2nd. A win and a New Zealand win and they will compete with Paraguay for 2nd place based on goal difference. They will need a 4 or 5 goal swing to qualify ahead of Paraguay. If they have the same goals scored and goals against then Paraguay will qualify.

2 comments:

Antony Cooke said...

Thank you for sharing the information on your website. I'm finding it very useful in understanding the state of play.

William Fussey said...

Thanks!