With all 4 teams very much alive...what is required for each to qualify? (Paraguay v New Zealand and Italy v Slovakia). (P.S. A coin toss = drawing of lots = same thing)
Paraguay: A win or a draw is required to guarantee qualification. A win and they will finish first, a draw and they will finish first (unless Italy can overtake them on goal difference - this will require either a 2 or 3 goal win), a loss and they will finish 2nd if Italy v Slovakia is a draw or if Slovakia win and fail to achieve a better goal difference than them (will require a 4 or 5 goal swing). Obviously If Paraguay lose and Italy win they are eliminated.
Italy: A win will guarantee qualification. A win and a Paraguay win and they will finish 2nd. A win and a Paraguay draw and 1st and 2nd will come down to goal difference (indeed if Paraguay draw 1-1 and Italy win 2-0, 1st and 2nd will come down to a coin toss). A win and a New Zealand win will mean 1st and 2nd come down to who got the best win. A draw will achieve qualification if New Zealand lose. A draw and a New Zealand win will mean they are eliminated. A draw and a New Zealand draw - they will qualify in 2nd place if their draw is a higher score draw than New Zealand and they will be eliminated if it is a lower score draw. If the scoreline in both draws are the same then they will have a coin toss with New Zealand to see who qualifies in 2nd and who misses out.
New Zealand. A win will guarantee qualification. A win and an Italian win will mean they qualify in 1st if they get a better win and 2nd if they get a worse win. If the win is the same scoreline then 1st and 2nd will be decided on a coin toss. A win and an Italian draw or loss and New Zealand will finish first. If New Zealand draw they will be eliminated if Italy or Slovakia win. A draw and an Italian draw - they will qualify in 2nd place if their draw is a higher score draw than Italy and they will be eliminated if it is a lower score draw. If the scoreline in both draws are the same then they will have a coin toss with Italy to see who qualifies in 2nd and who misses out.
Slovakia. A loss or a draw and they are eliminated, a win and a Paraguay win or draw and they will qualify in 2nd. A win and a New Zealand win and they will compete with Paraguay for 2nd place based on goal difference. They will need a 4 or 5 goal swing to qualify ahead of Paraguay. If they have the same goals scored and goals against then Paraguay will qualify.
Thank you for sharing the information on your website. I'm finding it very useful in understanding the state of play.
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